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10-19-2009, 01:08 PM
| #1 |
| Pit Crew Joined: Apr 2009 From: Portland, OR I Ride: 2007 KTM Super Duke | Before you run and winterize your bike CURRENTLY WEAK EL NINO CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AND PERSIST INTO THE 2009-10 NORTHERN HEMISPHERE WINTER. THE LIKELIHOOD OF A CONTINUING EL NINO EVENT INFLUENCES THE TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS FOR OND 2009 THROUGH MAM 2010, MAINLY VIA COMPOSITES FOR WEAK-TO-MODERATE EVENTS. THE IMPACT OF EL NINO ON THE CLIMATE OVER NORTH AMERICA IS EXPECTED TO BE GREATEST DURING THE WINTER SEASONS. A MODERATE STRENGTH EL NINO IS MOST LIKELY DURING THE WINTER. A STRONG EVENT IS LESS LIKELY, BUT STILL POSSIBLE. UNCERTAINTY IN THE FUTURE STRENGTH AND DURATION OF THIS EVENT IS CONSIDERED IN THE SEASONAL FORECASTS, ESPECIALLY AT LONGER LEAD TIMES. THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR NDJ 2009-10 INDICATES AN ENHANCED LIKELIHOOD OF ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CONUS AND ALASKA. WHERE THE CHANCE OF ABOVE OR BELOW AVERAGE SEASONAL MEAN TEMPERATURES ARE SIMILAR TO A RANDOM DRAW FROM THE HISTORICAL RECORD (CLIMATOLOGY), EQUAL CHANCES OF BELOW, NEAR, AND ABOVE AVERAGE ARE INDICATED. BELOW MEDIAN ACCUMULATED PRECIPITATION IS MOST LIKELY DURING OND 2009 FOR PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. ABOVE MEDIAN PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE MOST LIKELY ALONG THE GULF COAST FROM TEXAS TO FLORIDA, AND IN CALIFORNIA, AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF ALASKA. WHERE THE LIKELIHOOD OF ABOVE OR BELOW MEDIAN SEASONAL PRECIPITATION IS SIMILAR TO THE CLIMATOLOGY, EQUAL CHANCES OF BELOW, NEAR, AND ABOVE MEDIAN PRECIPITATION ARE INDICATED. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...ay/fxus05.html |
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10-19-2009, 02:19 PM
| #10 | |
| MotoGP Contender  Joined: May 2005 From: Spokane I Ride: 2003 Illusion Blue Wing, 2006 Wing with MUSIC & 2006 Custom ZX14 | 
Pretty much, yeah... | |
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10-19-2009, 02:25 PM
| #11 | |
| Pit Crew Joined: Jan 2009 From: Federal Way, WA Blog Entries: 5 I Ride: Rain, sleet, but no snow: '08 GSX650F |
 Riding season ends for me when temps are at freezing level all day long. Thank you El Nino! | |
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10-19-2009, 02:38 PM
| #14 |
| Superbiker Joined: Oct 2006 From: Vanquiver, WA I Ride: RD400F Daytonut | I'm counting on this (dryer winter). So far, the weather has been pretty good lately in the Vancouver area for Oct. Bring on the drought...and keep the 60s temps. I remembered when i moved here at the end of 2004. one day it reached about 70. My GF couldn't believe it aournd January or thereabouts. I'm seeing sunshine right now. |
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10-19-2009, 02:46 PM
| #15 |
| Zone Head Joined: May 2009 From: Roofies - putting the sensual back into consensual I Ride: like an asshole | Last edited by vville123; 10-19-2009 at 10:07 PM.. |
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10-19-2009, 04:08 PM
| #16 | |
| Zone Head Joined: Mar 2008 From: Beaverton, OR - CLAY I Ride: K6 GSXR 1K | ????
 that's about as relevant as: -watch til the end!  Last edited by Soil; 10-19-2009 at 04:10 PM.. Reason: suckers | |
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10-19-2009, 04:13 PM
| #17 | |
| Zone Head Joined: May 2009 From: Roofies - putting the sensual back into consensual I Ride: like an asshole |
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10-19-2009, 05:06 PM
| #19 |
| Zone Head Joined: Feb 2008 From: Portland, Oregon I Ride: '07 GSXR-750 | lol! Looks like somebody got Rick Rolled and is butthurt about it! :  Im gonna be pissed if we dont get at least one major snow storm in Portland this year. Ive got $200 worth of snow tires sittin in my garage waiting to be used! |
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10-19-2009, 08:28 PM
| #21 | |
| Training Wheels Joined: Jul 2009 From: Seattle I Ride: K1200RS,49cc spree beer getter Past bikes: 97' M900, 90' FZR600, 92' Seca II 600, 85' Suzuki Madura 1200, 97' CR125, 89' CR500, 92' YZ250 |
I call bullshit on NOAA, The Weather Channel, and Steve Pool. It's gonna rain and snow like hell froze over. My pipe is already a nice shade of gray. | |
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10-19-2009, 08:36 PM
| #22 |
| Endorsed Joined: Aug 2009 From: Portland OR I Ride: 92 CBR 600F2 | 2005 Kawasaki Ninja 500EX (street Fightered) | Mild summer generally means a mild winter. This was a VERY mild summer. All you kids thinking about getting Meadows passes... now might be the time to consider going to timberline since it's on a glacier  |
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10-19-2009, 10:31 PM
| #23 | |
| Training Wheels Joined: Jul 2009 From: Seattle I Ride: K1200RS,49cc spree beer getter Past bikes: 97' M900, 90' FZR600, 92' Seca II 600, 85' Suzuki Madura 1200, 97' CR125, 89' CR500, 92' YZ250 |
http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/htm...webhot29m.html | |
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10-20-2009, 07:59 AM
| #25 |
| Endorsed Joined: Oct 2006 From: Portland, OR I Ride: 96' ZX-7RR & 06' MV Brutale 910 | some of my best rides in oregon over years have been in Nov...sure its "cool" but during mid day, its awesome. Who can deny riding on a cool crisp (hp air!) day when in the low 60's say around Vernonia, skyline, apery, etc...yes becareful of leaves and such, but man there ARE some great days in the "off season" |
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10-20-2009, 09:48 AM
| #26 |
| Endorsed Joined: Mar 2009 From: Portland I Ride: Y2K Bandit 600 to escape the voices | You lost me at........ "CURRENTLY WEAK EL NINO CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AND PERSIST INTO THE 2009-10 NORTHERN HEMISPHERE WINTER." I'm going riding! |
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